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2024-12-14 00:39:21

So yesterday, the market opened higher and went lower. Is it really big money that is smashing the market? This can actually be seen from yesterday's transaction data. In this morning's [A-share news], Brother Jun analyzed in detail the position adjustment actions of institutions and hot money seats yesterday. Although yesterday's institutional funds did have a moderate net outflow, the outflow of institutional funds was only due to the decrease in buying, not the release of selling.Of course, some fans and friends have raised questions about this. Brother Jun noticed that in the comment area of yesterday afternoon's article, some fans and friends thought that yesterday's heavy volume was high and low, obviously there were funds fleeing. Since the funds are fleeing, no matter how the background changes, the market will probably fall in the short term!The core here refers to the policy background, the market trend before and after, and the actions of the national team when three times of high opening and low going appeared. In particular, the support action of the national team will have a great impact on the short-term trend of the whole market. This is because funds can determine the short-term trend of the market to a greater extent, while fundamentals can determine the medium-and long-term trend of the market to a greater extent.


Friends who have been paying attention to Junge know that Junge mentioned in his article last Friday that the key force driving the market to break through that day was the Shanghai and Shenzhen 300ETF, which was the exclusive market entry channel for the national team. It can be seen that the national team entered the stadium ahead of schedule on the eve of Politburo meeting of the Chinese Communist Party.In this regard, Jun Ge wants to remind everyone that there are many kinds of market funds, including the national team, main funds and ordinary retail investors. Among these three categories, they are also divided into several sub-categories. For example, the funds with the background of Chinese characters include Huijin, insurance, social security and pension. The main funds are more, which can be divided into public offering, private placement, hot money, trust, brokerage self-operated, foreign-funded institutions and so on; Even retail investors should be divided into large households and ordinary retail investors.


Yesterday, both the A-share market and the Growth Enterprise Market index opened sharply higher and went lower, which was very ugly. After the A-share market closed, the decline of Hong Kong stocks expanded. Last night, the FTSE A50 and Nasdaq China Jinlong Index both showed obvious corrections, and the China Jinlong Index fell by more than 4%!Second, in the early stage of the meeting, in addition to the financial advantage, there is a more important political task, which is to maintain stability during the meeting and avoid large fluctuations in the market. The purpose of maintaining stability here is not only to prevent the short-term sharp decline of the market, but also to prevent the sharp rise. If it is a sharp drop, it will increase the buying power to pull up the index. If it is a sharp rise, it will throw out the chips for the pressure plate last Friday.Then why is this trend happening? Many investors may think that yesterday's A shares opened higher and went lower under the favorable stimulus of the Politburo meeting, which is very similar to last year's 828 market and the trend on October 8 this year. But in your brother's view, these three false yin lines are just similar in shape, but the cores are not the same.

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